Barcelona have chased Nico Williams for two straight summers and come away empty-handed both times. The explanations shift slightly from year to year, but the result stays the same. They wanted him in 2024 and could not get the deal done. They returned in 2025 and failed again, before Williams signed a new contract with Athletic Club through 2035, pushing his release clause to around €95–100 million. Now, with the 2026 window approaching and the World Cup inflating the market, the Catalans are once again being discussed as contenders, as though desire alone secures a transfer. It does not. In the race for the signature of Nico Williams, Arsenal have the money, the structure, and the nerve to act first. Barcelona have the fantasy. Arsenal have the leverage.
Barcelona’s Credibility Problem
Barcelona’s interest is real. Their capacity to complete the deal is not. Athletic’s transfer terms are brutally simple: pay the clause in full, upfront, or forget it. The Camp Nou side has already learned that lesson the hard way. When the clause stood at €58 million, Athletic refused to entertain instalments. Why would they soften now, with the price significantly higher and the player even more valuable?
The financial problems of Barca are not a media invention. They are structural. The Dani Olmo registration crisis exposed the farce in public. Barcelona paid €60 million for a player they then struggled to register, while Javier Tebas openly questioned whether they had complied with La Liga’s financial rules. That was not a minor embarrassment. It was a warning sign. Williams and his camp will have seen it for what it is: proof that, with Barcelona, even a signed deal may not be a secure deal. After two summers of noise and no transfer, this is no longer a saga. It is a credibility problem.
The Club That Can Actually Sign Him
Arsenal have entered the race for Nico Williams offering something Barcelona still cannot: certainty. They are Premier League champions, have Champions League football secured, and do not need to wait on regulators to approve a major transfer. Mikel Arteta’s Spanish background also matters, because this is not only a financial discussion; it is about trust, communication and fit. Andrea Berta’s presence is another advantage, since elite deals are often decided by who can move quickest and negotiate most effectively.
But the decisive point is simpler than all of that: Arsenal can pay. Not through creative instalments, financial gymnastics, or crossed fingers over registration rules, but in the straightforward manner Athletic demand. Barca may still hold greater emotional appeal for the player, but the Gunners possess the one advantage that ultimately completes transfers: the financial freedom to move without conditions.
The Preference That Has Never Produced A Transfer
Yes, Williams is reported to prefer Barcelona. Yes, the friendships with Lamine Yamal and Pedri make that destination attractive. None of that changes the basic fact that preference without execution is worthless. He preferred Barcelona before and nothing happened. He preferred Barcelona again and nothing happened again. At some stage, loyalty to an idea becomes self-defeating.
Agents do not get paid to protect fantasies — they get paid to secure outcomes. So the question is no longer whether Barcelona would be Williams’ ideal move in theory. The question is whether waiting for Barcelona a third time would simply be repeating the same mistake with a bigger price tag and less margin for error. Iñaki’s brother may not be dreaming of Arsenal. But dreams do not trigger release clauses. Money does.
The World Cup Makes This Urgent
Every good performance from Williams now pushes the price higher and the competition wider. Spain open their group-stage campaign against Morocco on June 15, then face Brazil on June 20 and New Zealand on June 25. If the Spaniard explodes on that stage, Athletic Club gain even more leverage, not less. Any transfer negotiation will become harder with each passing week of the tournament. That is why the window matters before the tournament narrative fully takes over. The clubs that hesitate will pay more. This is not a tournament that gives Barcelona more time to resolve what is fundamentally a financial problem. It is a tournament that punishes indecision. And indecision is exactly what has defined Barcelona’s pursuit of Williams from the start.
The Verdict
Barcelona will pursue the Bilbao winger again, because chasing him costs less than signing him. But the same barriers remain: financial restrictions, La Liga’s scrutiny, registration risk, and an inability to close transfers cleanly or quickly. Arsenal do not carry those weaknesses. They have Champions League football, a Spanish manager, a proven sporting executive, and the financial freedom to act without drama. Nico Williams may still prefer Barcelona over Arsenal, but preference does not complete transfers. Capacity does. And right now, Arsenal look like the only club in this race with the certainty to actually deliver.